We extract information from data and transform it into knowledge, empowering our clients to optimize their decision making.
- Models We build explanatory and predictive models that allow our customers to understand their operations, customers, and markets. More»
At Bayes Forecast we make the most out of the information and knowledge available in data repositories, business experience and market variables, by making them easy to reach and understand.
Bayes Forecast sees Quantitative Marketing as a process of building dynamic models that capture market behavior and measure simultaneously a wide variety of effects that influence the market and provide detailed and essential knowledge.
Included among the effects to be explained and quantified are customer behavior, competitive actions, price dynamics, marketing mix, holidays, calendar effects, products and point of sale substitutions, and macroeconomic variables.
Under this perspective, we have acquired a solid knowledge of all the relevant variables required for understanding markets in order to:
- Understand the behavior of a customer or group of customers.
- Understand customer segments, the evolution of their loyalty, their life cycle, and their consumption as a result of the introduction of new products and services.
- Forecast risk levels and the probability of customer defection.
- Increase the success of innovation by estimating potential demand before the introduction of new products and services.
- Understand production costs and the management of cash and stocks.
- Quantify the efficiency of marketing actions by sales channels and kinds of products.
- Determine the effects of advertising on sales, considering media factors such as spot quality, brand, and decay rating.
- Calculate the effects of promotions by intensity, frequency, target, and side effects.
- Optimize the cost of zero stocks and remaining stocks.
- Applications to different business areas
- Management of campaign with target group
- Estimation of customer response to changes in prices
- Estimation of optimal service
- Analysis of promotion effects
- Adapting prices to expected demand
- Optimal management of publicity investment
- Influence of calendar variables
- Analysis of spots and commercials
